X partners with Polymarket after deal with Kalshi falls through
The social network “X” announced a partnership with the prediction market “Polymarket,” just weeks after the mysterious cancellation of a similar deal with competitor “Kalshi.”
A new chapter in news and data development
The partnership between “X” and “Polymarket” opens a new era in information delivery and public opinion formation. The main focus is on transparency, reality, and data accuracy.
As part of the collaboration, a product will be created that combines data from the X social network and the capabilities of the Grok AI chatbot. This solution will enable the delivery of contextualized forecasts in real time based on user data and analytics.
Why it matters
- Grok analyzes the information flow on X and provides up-to-date forecasts.
- Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market where people bet on events.
- The joint platform will become a tool for assessing the probability of events occurring.
What happened with Kalshi?
Just a month ago, the Kalshi platform announced a collaboration with Grok. However, all mentions of the partnership were suddenly removed. The reasons have not been officially disclosed, but analysts believe it is related to a conflict between Elon Musk and Donald Trump.
Trump’s son is an advisor to Kalshi, and this, according to observers, may have influenced Musk’s decision to cancel the deal. As a result, the path to collaboration was cleared for the competitor — Polymarket.
Polymarket’s issues in the US
The new deal seems especially surprising given that Polymarket has been blocked for US users since 2022. The reason is a conflict with the CFTC regulator regarding prediction market trading rules.
A new information era
According to Polymarket representatives, “the new era of information won’t be driven by old media monopolies, but will be driven by markets.”
They claim the partnership with X will be a new chapter in the fight for truth on the internet. In their view, the future of news should be:
- Optimized for truth
- Based on transparency
- Anchored in reality
Table: Kalshi vs. Polymarket Comparison
| Platform | Partnership with X | Status in the US | Features |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | Announced, then canceled | Available | Connected to politicians, including Trump’s son as advisor |
| Polymarket | Active partnership | Blocked | Decentralized prediction market, focus on reality |
What is Grok and how does it work
Grok is an AI chatbot developed on the X platform that helps analyze and interpret information in real time. With it, users will receive not just news, but probability forecasts of how events might unfold.
The integration of Grok with Polymarket means that users will be able to instantly see how public perception of an event’s probability changes as new data emerges.
Conclusion
The partnership between X and Polymarket marks an important step toward a more accurate, transparent, and publicly driven model of information dissemination.
Despite Polymarket being blocked in the US, the collaboration could set a new standard for information reliability.
Meanwhile, the collapse of the Kalshi deal leaves questions unanswered, but opens the door for new alliances and technologies shaping the future of predictive analytics.